Tennis · M15 Wuning · 03/09, 05:30
Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Shaoyun Liu
Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Shaoyun Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Colin Sinclair
Shaoyun Liu
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair
6-4 (W-L)
Shaoyun Liu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1537 · Shaoyun Liu 1483
| Colin Sinclair | Shaoyun Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colin Sinclair (rating 1537 vs 1483).
- Colin Sinclair is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Colin Sinclair makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Colin Sinclair | Shaoyun Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.9 | 9.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colin Sinclair
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Linang Xiao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Aly Geldyev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ganuka Fernando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Shaoyun Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Zicong Wang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Mingliang Yue M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | S D Prajwal Dev M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Michael Zhu M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Anning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/04 | Ilia Simakin M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Shaoyun Liu?
Our model gives 72% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.