Tennis · Challenger Porto · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Niels Visker vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Niels Visker · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Visker
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Visker 1559 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1620
| Niels Visker | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1559 vs 1620).
- Niels Visker dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Niels Visker | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.2 | 13.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Vesa Ahti Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Visker vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 62% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.