Tennis · Challenger Porto · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Team pages: Miguel Damas · Dimitar Kuzmanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Damas
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Damas
4-6 (W-L)
Dimitar Kuzmanov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miguel Damas
1–0
Dimitar Kuzmanov
(1 last)
- 17 Sept2-1 16-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Damas 1472 · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1567
| Miguel Damas | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1472 vs 1567).
- Dimitar Kuzmanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Miguel Damas 1–0 Dimitar Kuzmanov (1).
Statistics
| Miguel Damas | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-12.2 | 13.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 73% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Miguel Damas 1 – 0 Dimitar Kuzmanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miguel Damas 1–0 Dimitar Kuzmanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/24 Challenger Sibiu | 2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Damas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikola Slavic ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Dimitar Kuzmanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Jose Freitas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Aadarsh Tripathi M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov?
Our model gives 58% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.