Tennis · Challenger Porto · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Alejandro Moro Canas · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
4-6 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1502 · Marco Cecchinato 1550
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1502 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 11.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 26.5% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Nick Hardt Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 57% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.