Tennis · Challenger Porto · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Facundo Mena · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Mena
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Mena
4-6 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Mena 1527 · Max Alcala Gurri 1523
| Facundo Mena | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11 | 10.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 60% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.