Tennis · M15 Trelew · 01/09, 19:30
Prediction: Leonel Cesar Castro vs Felix Corwin
Team pages: Leonel Cesar Castro · Felix Corwin
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonel Cesar Castro
Felix Corwin
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Leonel Cesar Castro
2-8 (W-L)
Felix Corwin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonel Cesar Castro 1429 · Felix Corwin 1534
| Leonel Cesar Castro | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Corwin (rating 1429 vs 1534).
- Felix Corwin dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 51.5% break avg.
- Felix Corwin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Felix Corwin makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Leonel Cesar Castro | Felix Corwin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.6 | 11.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonel Cesar Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Ignacio De Armas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 06/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Lautaro Agustin Falabella Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Lucio Ratti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/04 | Valentin Garay UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Felix Corwin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matisse Farzam M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Colson Wells M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Alexander Frusina M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Safir Azam M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonel Cesar Castro vs Felix Corwin?
Our model gives 78% to Felix Corwin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.