Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 01/09, 11:00

Prediction: Sam Kydd Baumgartner vs Robin Eldin

Team pages: Robin Eldin

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Sam Kydd Baumgartner Robin Eldin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sam Kydd Baumgartner 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWL
Robin Eldin 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sam Kydd Baumgartner 1500 · Robin Eldin 1490
Sam Kydd BaumgartnerRobin Eldin
Our model51%49%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sam Kydd BaumgartnerRobin Eldin
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.1-1.3
Games (G-P)11.3-9.410.9-10.7
Aces11.5
Double faults2.91.5
1st serve %67.7%61.6%
Break %48.7%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sam Kydd Baumgartner

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Lausanne
0-2 7-13 L
23/08 Derek Muerner
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Tej Bhagra
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
12/08 Stijn Paardekooper
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 12-13 L
10/08 Aaron Hilsum
UTR Pro Match Series · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Lorenzo Comino
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
30/06 Ammar Elamin
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 9-8 W
29/06 Atharva Sharma
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
28/06 Fedor Dorokhov
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
23/06 Federico Valle
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
1-2 12-12 L

Robin Eldin

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Hamza Berrada
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
25/08 Zian Vanderstappen
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 9-13 L
13/07 Lenny Petit
M25 Uriage
0-2 2-12 L
06/07 Henri Haupt
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 8-12 L
29/06 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
28/06 Jake Fellows
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
18/04 Luca Connaughton
UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
16/04 Aryan Karnani
UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/04 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
13/04 Haruto Ishikawa
UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard
2-1 17-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sam Kydd Baumgartner vs Robin Eldin?

Our model gives 58% to Sam Kydd Baumgartner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.