Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 04/09, 11:30
Prediction: Jack Loge vs Yaroslav Demin
Team pages: Jack Loge · Yaroslav Demin
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Loge
Yaroslav Demin
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Loge
7-3 (W-L)
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Loge 1593 · Yaroslav Demin 1520
| Jack Loge | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Loge (rating 1593 vs 1520).
- Jack Loge is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jack Loge | Yaroslav Demin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.2 | 11.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Loge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Andrea M'chich M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Romain Faucon M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Marlon Vankan M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Noah Martens M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Benoit Torcq M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Remy Dugardin M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Loge vs Yaroslav Demin?
Our model gives 58% to Jack Loge, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.