Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 03/09, 12:00

Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Idriss Haddouch

Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · Idriss Haddouch

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Thiago Cigarran Idriss Haddouch
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLWW
Idriss Haddouch 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1554 · Idriss Haddouch 1504
Thiago CigarranIdriss Haddouch
Our model57%43%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1554 vs 1504).

Statistics

Thiago CigarranIdriss Haddouch
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11-1.1
Games (G-P)13-10.99.6-9.4
Aces1.61.4
Double faults2.31.7
1st serve %64.2%62.4%
Break %48.6%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thiago Cigarran

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Frazier Rengifo
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/08 Jannik Maute
M15 Allershausen
1-2 16-14 L
28/08 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
M15 Allershausen
2-1 14-11 W
27/08 Frederic Schlossmann
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Allershausen
2-1 17-13 W
18/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Luca Wiedenmann
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/08 Michael Zhu
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
13/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Trier
0-2 7-12 L
12/08 Ronald Hohmann
M15 Trier
2-0 14-11 W

Idriss Haddouch

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Jules Fabre
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
01/09 Vitali Shvets
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/08 Loris Gander
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
16/08 Lars Wagenaar
M15 Lambermont
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Abel Forger
M25 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
30/06 Parth Aggarwal
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
29/06 Ghali Salah-Eddine
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
24/06 Walid Ahouda
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
23/06 Jordi Domenech Castillo
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/11 Naara Shin
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Idriss Haddouch?

Our model gives 73% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.