Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 03/09, 12:00
Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Idriss Haddouch
Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · Idriss Haddouch
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Cigarran
Idriss Haddouch
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran
4-6 (W-L)
Idriss Haddouch
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1554 · Idriss Haddouch 1504
| Thiago Cigarran | Idriss Haddouch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1554 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Idriss Haddouch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.9 | 9.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Cigarran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 28/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Idriss Haddouch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Jules Fabre M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Vitali Shvets M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Loris Gander M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Abel Forger M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Parth Aggarwal M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Ghali Salah-Eddine M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Walid Ahouda M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jordi Domenech Castillo M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/11 | Naara Shin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Idriss Haddouch?
Our model gives 73% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

