Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 04/09, 16:30

Prediction: Yassine Dlimi vs Arthur Nagel

Team pages: Yassine Dlimi · Arthur Nagel

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Yassine Dlimi Arthur Nagel
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yassine Dlimi 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLWW
Arthur Nagel 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yassine Dlimi 1557 · Arthur Nagel 1574
Yassine DlimiArthur Nagel
Our model48%52%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yassine DlimiArthur Nagel
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.7-0.8
Games (G-P)12.9-11.413.5-10.8
Aces3.82
Double faults2.82
1st serve %68.8%65.9%
Break %49%56%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yassine Dlimi

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Maxence Rivet
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
02/09 Younes Lalami Laaroussi
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign
1-2 14-14 L
22/07 Rishvanth Krishna
M25 Champaign
2-0 14-11 W
13/07 Evan Zhu
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/07 Gavin Young
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Walid Ahouda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
28/06 Karim Bennani
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
27/06 Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
26/06 Florian Broska
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W

Arthur Nagel

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/09 Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Tim Handel
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 13-9 W
22/08 Daniel Masur
M25 Ueberlingen
2-1 18-13 W
22/08 Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Laurens Harnoth Manrubia
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M25 Muttenz
1-2 11-17 L
07/08 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Eupen
1-2 17-18 L
05/08 Harold Huens
M15 Eupen
2-1 18-13 W
01/08 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Strasbourg
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yassine Dlimi vs Arthur Nagel?

Our model gives 53% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.