Tennis · M25 Casablanca · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Frazier Rengifo
Team pages: Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Cigarran
Frazier Rengifo
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran
3-7 (W-L)
Frazier Rengifo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1535 · Frazier Rengifo 1488
| Thiago Cigarran | Frazier Rengifo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1535 vs 1488).
- Note: Frazier Rengifo makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Frazier Rengifo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 9.6-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Cigarran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 28/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frazier Rengifo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Hugo Garcia Gomez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Artem Lyapshin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/08 | Edoardo Barbalaco UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Claus Piening UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 15/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-1 | 9-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/04 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Frazier Rengifo?
Our model gives 71% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.