Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 15:30
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
3-7 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tiago Cacao
0–1
Alejandro Moro Canas
(1 last)
- 14 Sept0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1505 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1495
| Tiago Cacao | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tiago Cacao 0–1 Alejandro Moro Canas (1).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.6 | 11.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Tiago Cacao 0 – 1 Alejandro Moro Canas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiago Cacao 0–1 Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/21 ITF M25 Sintra | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Rodrigo Ferro Duarte Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Rocha M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Oscar Brown M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.