Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 16:00
Prediction: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Team pages: Pedro Vives Marcos · Eduardo Ribeiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Vives Marcos
Eduardo Ribeiro
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Vives Marcos
5-5 (W-L)
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Vives Marcos 1587 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1474
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1587 vs 1474).
- Pedro Vives Marcos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.9 | 10.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jelle Sels Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Vives Marcos vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 60% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.