Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 13:00
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Facundo Mena
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Facundo Mena
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Facundo Mena
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
6-4 (W-L)
Facundo Mena
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1569 · Facundo Mena 1501
| Patrick Schoen | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1569 vs 1501).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.4 | 10-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 72% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 25.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Rigele Te M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Facundo Mena?
Our model gives 51% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.