Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 13:00
Prediction: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alafia Ayeni
Team pages: Dimitar Kuzmanov · Alafia Ayeni
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Alafia Ayeni
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitar Kuzmanov
7-3 (W-L)
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitar Kuzmanov 1585 · Alafia Ayeni 1465
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Alafia Ayeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kuzmanov (rating 1585 vs 1465).
- Alafia Ayeni dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Dimitar Kuzmanov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Alafia Ayeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.2 | 9.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Jose Freitas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Aadarsh Tripathi M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Adrien Burdet Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zach Stephens Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alafia Ayeni?
Our model gives 76% to Dimitar Kuzmanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.