Tennis · M15 Wuning · 02/09, 04:00
Prediction: Xing Dao Chen vs Xirui Han
Team pages: Xing Dao Chen · Xirui Han
Prediction summary
Winner
Xing Dao Chen
Xirui Han
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xing Dao Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Xirui Han
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Xing Dao Chen
1–0
Xirui Han
(1 last)
- 11 Aug2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xing Dao Chen 1447 · Xirui Han 1545
| Xing Dao Chen | Xirui Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xirui Han (rating 1447 vs 1545).
- Xirui Han is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Xing Dao Chen 1–0 Xirui Han (1).
Statistics
| Xing Dao Chen | Xirui Han | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.8 | 11.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Xing Dao Chen 1 – 0 Xirui Han (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Xing Dao Chen 1–0 Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/24 ITF M25 Yinchuan | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xing Dao Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Sheng Tang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Siwanat Auytayakul M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Xirui Han
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Sergey Fomin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Natsuki Yamamoto M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Suk Ann M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xing Dao Chen vs Xirui Han?
Our model gives 58% to Xirui Han, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.