Tennis · M15 Wuning · 02/09, 04:00

Prediction: Ammar Faleh Alhogbani vs Qian Sun

Team pages: Ammar Faleh Alhogbani · Qian Sun

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Ammar Faleh Alhogbani Qian Sun
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ammar Faleh Alhogbani 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWWL
Qian Sun 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ammar Faleh Alhogbani 1506 · Qian Sun 1471
Ammar Faleh AlhogbaniQian Sun
Our model55%45%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ammar Faleh AlhogbaniQian Sun
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.1-1.4
Games (G-P)11.1-8.911.9-11.6
Aces35.3
Double faults2.72.8
1st serve %68.3%68.5%
Break %49.6%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ammar Faleh Alhogbani

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/08 Ku Keon Kang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
19/08 Xin Zhou
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
18/07 Bill Chan
Davis Cup
2-1 14-11 W
17/07 Ali Yazdani
Davis Cup
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Hao Sheng Koay
Davis Cup
2-0 13-6 W
15/07 Ha Minh Duc Vu
Davis Cup
2-1 14-9 W
03/07 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/07 Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Felipe Virgili Berini
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Qian Sun

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
26/08 Petr Bar Biryukov
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 16-15 L
13/08 Yunseong Chung
M15 Tianjin
0-2 10-13 L
12/08 Yuta Kawahashi
M15 Tianjin
2-1 15-9 W
06/08 Hanlei Lu
M15 Tianjin
0-2 9-13 L
04/08 Yuta Kikuchi
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Shu Muto
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
04/06 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
03/06 Xiaoyin Yang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ammar Faleh Alhogbani vs Qian Sun?

Our model gives 53% to Qian Sun, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.