Tennis · M15 Wuning · 02/09, 04:00

Prediction: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao

Team pages: Colin Sinclair · Linang Xiao

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Colin Sinclair Linang Xiao
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Colin Sinclair 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Linang Xiao 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWW
Head-to-head
Colin Sinclair 1–0 Linang Xiao (1 last)
  • 02 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colin Sinclair 1558 · Linang Xiao 1452
Colin SinclairLinang Xiao
Our model65%35%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colin Sinclair (rating 1558 vs 1452).
  • Colin Sinclair is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Colin Sinclair 1–0 Linang Xiao (1).
  • Note: Colin Sinclair makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Colin SinclairLinang Xiao
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11-1.4
Games (G-P)12.7-11.110.1-11.8
Aces92.6
Double faults4.22.6
1st serve %77%65.7%
Break %36.8%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

H2H · Colin Sinclair 10 Linang Xiao (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colin Sinclair 10 Linang Xiao

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DateSetsGamesRes.
02/04/26
M25 Maanshan
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colin Sinclair

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Takuya Kumasaka
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/08 Damir Zhalgasbay
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/08 Alibek Kachmazov
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
03/08 Digvijay Pratap Singh
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/08 Maxwell McKennon
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
29/07 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Samsun · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Samsun · Hard
2-1 13-15 W
25/07 Aly Geldyev
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
24/07 Ganuka Fernando
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
23/07 Mossa Alharrasi
Davis Cup
2-1 17-13 W

Linang Xiao

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
20/05 Xiuyuan Ye
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/05 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
22/04 Filip Peliwo
M25 Luzhou · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/04 Blake Ellis
Challenger Wuning · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
02/04 Colin Sinclair
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/04 Yaojie Zeng
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
26/03 Maxim Zhukov
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
25/03 Zurui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
19/03 Maxim Zhukov
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 2-8 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao?

Our model gives 69% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.