Tennis · M15 Trelew · 31/08, 18:00

Prediction: Tobia Grandinetti vs Ivan Dreycopp

Team pages: Tobia Grandinetti · Ivan Dreycopp

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Tobia Grandinetti Ivan Dreycopp
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Grandinetti 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWWLL
Ivan Dreycopp 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tobia Grandinetti 1457 · Ivan Dreycopp 1509
Tobia GrandinettiIvan Dreycopp
Our model43%57%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Dreycopp (rating 1457 vs 1509).

Statistics

Tobia GrandinettiIvan Dreycopp
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.71.1-1.2
Games (G-P)6.3-119.1-10.8
Aces1.21.2
Double faults3.82.6
1st serve %57%58.4%
Break %46.7%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tobia Grandinetti

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano
0-2 7-12 L
03/08 Nicolo Toffanin
M25 Fano
2-1 8-6 W
01/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Umag · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
29/06 Facundo Yunis
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
22/06 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 9-10 W
09/06 Pietro Marino
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
08/06 Simone Macchione
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
01/06 Jacopo Borsoi
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Ivan Dreycopp

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Santiago Franchini
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 8-10 L
20/07 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 14-13 W
25/06 Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Filippo Moroni
M25 Porto
2-1 16-15 W
23/06 Peter Buldorini
M25 Porto
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Matthias Uwe Kask
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/02 Teodor Davidov
M15 Naples · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tobia Grandinetti vs Ivan Dreycopp?

Our model gives 66% to Ivan Dreycopp, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.