Tennis · M15 Trelew · 31/08, 19:30
Prediction: Valentin Garay vs Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Garay
Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Garay
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Garay 1461 · Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli 1431
| Valentin Garay | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valentin Garay | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.6 | 7.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Garay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Mateo Carballo M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Dante Pagani M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/04 | Ezequiel Simonit UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/04 | Leonel Cesar Castro UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/04 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Luciano Doria UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/04 | Lautaro Rocha UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Ramiro Amarilla UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Tomas Jordi Leston M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/01 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Simon Ignacio Flores Leyton M25 Santiago |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/01 | Valentin Basel M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Maximo Zeitune ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Benjamin Torrealba ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Benjamin Zuniga Garcia ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Thiago Cigarran ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Garay vs Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli?
Our model gives 59% to Valentin Garay, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.