Tennis · Challenger Porto · 31/08, 12:30
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Jelle Sels
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Jelle Sels
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Jelle Sels
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
5-5 (W-L)
Jelle Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1472 · Jelle Sels 1494
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.1 | 12-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | David Poljak Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Jelle Sels?
Our model gives 61% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.