Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Frederico Ferreira Silva · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Frederico Ferreira Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1474 · Hugo Dellien 1552
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1474 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.7 | 11.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Diego Dedura-Palomero US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Moez Echargui US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Michele Ribecai ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 63% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.