Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Nick Hardt vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Nick Hardt · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Nick Hardt
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Hardt
6-4 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nick Hardt
0–1
Marco Cecchinato
(1 last)
- 10 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nick Hardt 1511 · Marco Cecchinato 1563
| Nick Hardt | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1511 vs 1563).
- Head-to-head: Nick Hardt 0–1 Marco Cecchinato (1).
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Nick Hardt | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11 | 11.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Nick Hardt 0 – 1 Marco Cecchinato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nick Hardt 0–1 Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Challenger Todi | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nick Hardt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Liam Broady US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nick Hardt vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 62% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.