Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Niels McDonald vs Enrico Dalla Valle
Team pages: Niels McDonald · Enrico Dalla Valle
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels McDonald
Enrico Dalla Valle
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Niels McDonald
2-8 (W-L)
Enrico Dalla Valle
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels McDonald 1467 · Enrico Dalla Valle 1538
| Niels McDonald | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enrico Dalla Valle (rating 1467 vs 1538).
Statistics
| Niels McDonald | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.7 | 11.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 79.4% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Enrico Dalla Valle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Mattia Logrippo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Boris Arias Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels McDonald vs Enrico Dalla Valle?
Our model gives 61% to Enrico Dalla Valle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.