Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Kimmer Coppejans
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Kimmer Coppejans
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Kimmer Coppejans
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
6-4 (W-L)
Kimmer Coppejans
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Monteiro
1–2
Kimmer Coppejans
(3 last)
- 09 Jan2-0 12-7W
- 02 Feb0-2 7-12L
- 27 Jun0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1563 · Kimmer Coppejans 1495
| Thiago Monteiro | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Monteiro (rating 1563 vs 1495).
- Head-to-head: Thiago Monteiro 1–2 Kimmer Coppejans (3).
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.3 | 8.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Thiago Monteiro 1 – 2 Kimmer Coppejans (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Monteiro 1–2 Kimmer Coppejans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/25 Australian Open | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/02/19 Davis Cup | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06/14 ITF Netherlands F3 | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Manuel Mazza Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Alberto Bronzetti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Kimmer Coppejans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Kimmer Coppejans?
Our model gives 55% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.