Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Tiago Torres
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Tiago Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Tiago Torres
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
4-6 (W-L)
Tiago Torres
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1464 · Tiago Torres 1564
| Mika Petkovic | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Torres (rating 1464 vs 1564).
- Tiago Torres is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.8 | 10.8-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 70% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Carlos Giraldi M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Tim Heger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca Liu M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Tiago Torres?
Our model gives 61% to Tiago Torres, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.