Tennis · Challenger Porto · 30/08, 11:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Maxime Janvier
Team pages: Rafael Izquierdo Luque · Maxime Janvier
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Maxime Janvier
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
3-7 (W-L)
Maxime Janvier
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1452 · Maxime Janvier 1464
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11 | 11.9-14.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Maxime Janvier?
Our model gives 56% to Maxime Janvier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.