Tennis · Challenger Porto · 30/08, 14:00
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Nicolas Barrientos
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Nicolas Barrientos
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Barrientos
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eduardo Ribeiro
0–1
Nicolas Barrientos
(1 last)
- 05 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1439 · Nicolas Barrientos 1523
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Nicolas Barrientos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Barrientos (rating 1439 vs 1523).
- Nicolas Barrientos is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eduardo Ribeiro 0–1 Nicolas Barrientos (1).
- Note: Nicolas Barrientos makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Nicolas Barrientos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Eduardo Ribeiro 0 – 1 Nicolas Barrientos (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eduardo Ribeiro 0–1 Nicolas Barrientos
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/16 ITF Colombia F4 | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Nicolas Barrientos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/03 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/11 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/11 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/11 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Facundo Mena Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Nicolas Barrientos?
Our model gives 54% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.