Tennis · Challenger Porto · 30/08, 12:30
Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Team pages: Roberto Carballes Baena · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Prediction summary
Winner
Roberto Carballes Baena
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Roberto Carballes Baena
5-5 (W-L)
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roberto Carballes Baena 1494 · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 1506
| Roberto Carballes Baena | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Roberto Carballes Baena | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.3 | 12-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Ceban Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Niklas Waldner M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Louis Van Herck M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Simonsson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Filip Soderqvist M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roberto Carballes Baena vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra?
Our model gives 70% to Roberto Carballes Baena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.