Tennis · M15 Monastir · 28/08, 10:30
Prediction: Louis Larue vs Toufik Sahtali
Team pages: Louis Larue · Toufik Sahtali
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Larue
Toufik Sahtali
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Larue
5-5 (W-L)
Toufik Sahtali
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Louis Larue
1–0
Toufik Sahtali
(1 last)
- 23 Sept2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Larue 1510 · Toufik Sahtali 1547
| Louis Larue | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Toufik Sahtali is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Louis Larue 1–0 Toufik Sahtali (1).
- Note: Louis Larue makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Louis Larue | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.2 | 12.2-8.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 64.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Louis Larue 1 – 0 Toufik Sahtali (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Louis Larue 1–0 Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Larue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Skander Nsairi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Stefan Seifert M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Erik Johansson M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Jeri Lassila M15 Turku |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Lui Maxted M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Romain Andres M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Nav Dayal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dimitris Azoidis Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Gokberk Saritas Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Larue vs Toufik Sahtali?
Our model gives 70% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.