Tennis · M15 Monastir · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Josh Manuel
Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Josh Manuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Josh Manuel
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem
8-2 (W-L)
Josh Manuel
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1526 · Josh Manuel 1478
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesar Bouchelaghem (rating 1526 vs 1478).
- Cesar Bouchelaghem is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Cesar Bouchelaghem | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 8.3-10 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 66% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Bouchelaghem
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Hlib Bohach Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Josh Manuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nav Dayal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tyler Stice M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Coffi Christian Dhossou M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lars Wagenaar UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Tom Sickenberger UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Steffan Van Weldam UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Vitek Horak UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Josh Manuel?
Our model gives 73% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.