Tennis · M15 Monastir · 05/09, 10:30

Prediction: Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Roan Jones

Team pages: Cesar Bouchelaghem · Roan Jones

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Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Cesar Bouchelaghem Roan Jones
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Bouchelaghem 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWWW
Roan Jones 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1539 · Roan Jones 1537
Cesar BouchelaghemRoan Jones
Our model50%50%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Cesar BouchelaghemRoan Jones
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.9-10.210.5-8.6
Aces3.52.5
Double faults32
1st serve %69.6%68.8%
Break %47.1%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesar Bouchelaghem

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/09 Hugo Car
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/09 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/07 Duncan Chan
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
19/07 Hlib Bohach
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/07 Adhithya Ganesan
Challenger Granby · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
12/07 Leo Vithoontien
Challenger Granby · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-18 L
04/07 Aziz Ouakaa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Roan Jones

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Hazem Naw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
02/09 Theo Herrmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/08 Mae Malige
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Peter Makk
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/08 Ryan James Storrie
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 10-8 L
02/08 Conor Brady
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
31/07 Daniel De Jonge
M15 Dublin
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Dublin
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesar Bouchelaghem vs Roan Jones?

Our model gives 57% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.