Tennis · M15 Monastir · 05/09, 10:30
Prediction: Jorge Plans vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Jorge Plans · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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Prediction summary
Winner
Jorge Plans
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jorge Plans
5-5 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jorge Plans
0–1
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
(1 last)
- 16 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jorge Plans 1511 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1592
| Jorge Plans | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1511 vs 1592).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jorge Plans 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1).
Statistics
| Jorge Plans | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10 | 13.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Jorge Plans 0 – 1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jorge Plans 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/25 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jorge Plans
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Louis Larue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Walid Ahouda M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Mukkesh Sabaresh Vijay Shankar M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ognjen Milic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jorge Plans vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 76% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.