Tennis · M15 Monastir · 27/08, 10:45
Prediction: Mathys Domenc vs Mahmoud Chetouane
Team pages: Mathys Domenc · Mahmoud Chetouane
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Domenc
Mahmoud Chetouane
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Domenc
7-3 (W-L)
Mahmoud Chetouane
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Domenc 1507 · Mahmoud Chetouane 1448
| Mathys Domenc | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Domenc (rating 1507 vs 1448).
Statistics
| Mathys Domenc | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.5 | 7.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 57% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 23.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Domenc
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Adrian Andreev M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Simone Massellani M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Adrien Berrut M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Marlon Vankan M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Pierre Antoine Faut M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/04 | Maxence Beauge M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Mahmoud Chetouane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Etienne Donnet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Louis Allen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/11 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Dmitrii Vasilev M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Abel Forger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Domenc vs Mahmoud Chetouane?
Our model gives 74% to Mathys Domenc, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.