Tennis · M25 Poznan · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Savano vs Niccolo Catini
Team pages: Michael Savano · Niccolo Catini
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Savano
Niccolo Catini
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Savano
6-4 (W-L)
Niccolo Catini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Savano 1536 · Niccolo Catini 1468
| Michael Savano | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Savano (rating 1536 vs 1468).
Statistics
| Michael Savano | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.9 | 9.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Savano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Przemyslaw Michocki M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Wojciech Marek M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Borys Zgola M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Store |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Marko Retelj M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Niccolo Catini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Brendan McDonald M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 30/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Savano vs Niccolo Catini?
Our model gives 54% to Michael Savano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.