Tennis · M25 Poznan · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Vladyslav Orlov · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladyslav Orlov
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Vladyslav Orlov
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vladyslav Orlov
2–0
Nikita Mashtakov
(2 last)
- 17 Aug2-0 12-4W
- 23 May2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1583 · Nikita Mashtakov 1616
| Vladyslav Orlov | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Vladyslav Orlov 2–0 Nikita Mashtakov (2).
Statistics
| Vladyslav Orlov | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.3 | 14.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Vladyslav Orlov 2 – 0 Nikita Mashtakov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vladyslav Orlov 2–0 Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/19 ITF M15 Irpin | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/05/19 ITF M15 Irpin | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Borys Zgola M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominik Kellovsky M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Jakub Kusy M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 50% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.