Tennis · M25 Poznan · 29/08, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
10-0 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1615 · Nikita Mashtakov 1612
| Daniel Michalski | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.8-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-5.6 | 14.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 66.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 66% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.