Tennis · M25 Poznan · 28/08, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1591 · Matyas Cerny 1515
| Daniel Michalski | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1591 vs 1515).
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-6.3 | 10.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 67% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.