Tennis · M25 Poznan · 28/08, 13:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Filip Pieczonka
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Filip Pieczonka
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Filip Pieczonka
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Filip Pieczonka
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1559 · Filip Pieczonka 1513
| Gerard Campana Lee | Filip Pieczonka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1559 vs 1513).
- Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Filip Pieczonka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.5 | 10.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Valentin Basel M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Jiri Cizek M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Vladislav Melnic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Filip Pieczonka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alan Wazny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Felix Gill Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/03 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 15/03 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/02 | Karim Ibrahim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/02 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Kyle Overmyer Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Filip Pieczonka?
Our model gives 62% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.