Tennis · M25 Poznan · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Valentin Basel
Team pages: Gerard Campana Lee · Valentin Basel
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Valentin Basel
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Valentin Basel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1588 · Valentin Basel 1498
| Gerard Campana Lee | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1588 vs 1498).
- Gerard Campana Lee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.6 | 11.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jiri Cizek M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Vladislav Melnic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Salvador Price Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 76% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.