Tennis · M25 Poznan · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Kirill Kivattsev
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Kirill Kivattsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Kirill Kivattsev
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Kirill Kivattsev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1593 · Kirill Kivattsev 1516
| Nikita Mashtakov | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1593 vs 1516).
- Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.7 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Sec M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Kirill Kivattsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Bengt Johan Reinhard M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Jelle Sels M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Kirill Kivattsev?
Our model gives 53% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.