Tennis · M25 Poznan · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Karol Filar
Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Karol Filar
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Cerny
Karol Filar
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny
6-4 (W-L)
Karol Filar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1496 · Karol Filar 1525
| Matyas Cerny | Karol Filar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Karol Filar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.2 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Karol Filar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jan Sadzik M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Uladzislau Tarasevich M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Lanik M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 26/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Karol Filar?
Our model gives 54% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.