Tennis · M25 Poznan · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Jan Wygona
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Jan Wygona
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Jan Wygona
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Jan Wygona
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1593 · Jan Wygona 1509
| Daniel Michalski | Jan Wygona | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1593 vs 1509).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Jan Wygona | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-6.6 | 10.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jan Wygona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jan Chlodnicki M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Piotr Galus M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nico Hipfl M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Filip Poklemba M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Samuel Kyjaci M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Maskow M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Jan Wygona?
Our model gives 78% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.