Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Finkelstein vs Valentin Basel
Team pages: Alex Finkelstein · Valentin Basel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Finkelstein
Valentin Basel
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Finkelstein
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Basel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Finkelstein 1481 · Valentin Basel 1482
| Alex Finkelstein | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex Finkelstein makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Alex Finkelstein | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.7 | 9.9-11 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Finkelstein
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jiri Jindacek M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Ben Weintraub M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dylan Kazlauskas M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Sulaiman Syed M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Eric Crivei M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 12/05 | Francisco Montana M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/02 | Tristan Boyer ATP Dallas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Juan Carlos Aguilar ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Pietro Marino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Salvador Price Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Finkelstein vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 59% to Valentin Basel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.