Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Leonardo Iemmi vs Kirill Kivattsev
Team pages: Leonardo Iemmi · Kirill Kivattsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Iemmi
Kirill Kivattsev
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Iemmi
3-7 (W-L)
Kirill Kivattsev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Iemmi 1422 · Kirill Kivattsev 1519
| Leonardo Iemmi | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kirill Kivattsev (rating 1422 vs 1519).
- Kirill Kivattsev is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Leonardo Iemmi | Kirill Kivattsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12 | 12.4-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Iemmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Adam Kaczmarek M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Samuel Rovai M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Nico Hipfl M25 Trento · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kirill Kivattsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Alex Ganchev M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Julien Penzlin M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Bengt Johan Reinhard M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Jelle Sels M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Alessio Basile M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Iemmi vs Kirill Kivattsev?
Our model gives 78% to Kirill Kivattsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.