Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jan Wygona vs Jan Chlodnicki
Team pages: Jan Wygona
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Wygona
Jan Chlodnicki
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Wygona
4-6 (W-L)
Jan Chlodnicki
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Wygona 1480 · Jan Chlodnicki 1550
| Jan Wygona | Jan Chlodnicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Chlodnicki (rating 1480 vs 1550).
- Jan Chlodnicki is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jan Wygona | Jan Chlodnicki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.7 | 10.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Wygona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Piotr Galus M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nico Hipfl M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Filip Poklemba M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Samuel Kyjaci M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Maskow M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jim Hendrikx M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 02/06 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Jan Chlodnicki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Bruno Kokot M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Jakub Solarski M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Peter Fajta M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alan Bojarski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/03 | Norbert Marosik UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 26/03 | Stepan Baum UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/03 | Matyas Kozlovsky UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Wygona vs Jan Chlodnicki?
Our model gives 58% to Jan Chlodnicki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.