Tennis · M25 Poznan · 25/08, 11:30
Prediction: Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Milosz Sroka
Team pages: Oliwier Sterniczuk · Milosz Sroka
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliwier Sterniczuk
Milosz Sroka
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oliwier Sterniczuk
3-7 (W-L)
Milosz Sroka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliwier Sterniczuk 1495 · Milosz Sroka 1469
| Oliwier Sterniczuk | Milosz Sroka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oliwier Sterniczuk | Milosz Sroka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.8 | 7-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliwier Sterniczuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Uladzislau Tarasevich M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Piotr Siekanowicz M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Michal Novansky M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Kevin Pabisiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Milosz Sroka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Dorian Kos M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Georgios Mitalas M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Georgii Kravchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Cedric Stanke M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliwier Sterniczuk vs Milosz Sroka?
Our model gives 64% to Oliwier Sterniczuk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.