Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Niccolo Catini vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Niccolo Catini · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Niccolo Catini
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Niccolo Catini
6-4 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niccolo Catini 1474 · Tiago Pereira 1552
| Niccolo Catini | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1474 vs 1552).
- Tiago Pereira is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Niccolo Catini | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.3 | 12.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 81.3% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niccolo Catini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Brendan McDonald M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 30/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Tito Chavez M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niccolo Catini vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 76% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.