Tennis · M25 Poznan · 25/08, 13:00
Prediction: Alan Wazny vs Filip Pieczonka
Team pages: Alan Wazny · Filip Pieczonka
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Wazny
Filip Pieczonka
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Wazny
6-4 (W-L)
Filip Pieczonka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Wazny 1508 · Filip Pieczonka 1477
| Alan Wazny | Filip Pieczonka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Filip Pieczonka makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Alan Wazny | Filip Pieczonka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.8 | 10.1-12 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 57% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Wazny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Noel Larwig M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Karol Filar M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Filip Pieczonka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Felix Gill Challenger Murcia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/03 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 15/03 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Murcia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/02 | Karim Ibrahim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/02 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Kyle Overmyer Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/11 | Milos Karol Challenger Bergamo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Wazny vs Filip Pieczonka?
Our model gives 57% to Alan Wazny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.