Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Dominik Kellovsky
Team pages: Vladyslav Orlov · Dominik Kellovsky
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladyslav Orlov
Dominik Kellovsky
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Vladyslav Orlov
5-5 (W-L)
Dominik Kellovsky
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vladyslav Orlov
0–1
Dominik Kellovsky
(1 last)
- 22 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1578 · Dominik Kellovsky 1444
| Vladyslav Orlov | Dominik Kellovsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1578 vs 1444).
- Vladyslav Orlov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Vladyslav Orlov 0–1 Dominik Kellovsky (1).
Statistics
| Vladyslav Orlov | Dominik Kellovsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10 | 9.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Vladyslav Orlov 0 – 1 Dominik Kellovsky (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vladyslav Orlov 0–1 Dominik Kellovsky
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/18 ITF Bahrain F1 | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Jakub Kusy M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Dominik Kellovsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/04 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Harry Wendelken M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Liam Hignett M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/02 | Toby Martin M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Sean Hodkin M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 16/01 | Alexandr Binda M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Dominik Kellovsky?
Our model gives 72% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.